World Acceptance Corporation (NASDAQ:WRLD) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 26% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Longer-term, the stock has been solid despite a difficult 30 days, gaining 16% in the last year.
Even after such a large drop in price, World Acceptance may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.5x, since almost half of all companies in the United States have P/E ratios greater than 19x and even P/E's higher than 34x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, World Acceptance's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
See our latest analysis for World Acceptance
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as World Acceptance's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 27% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 323% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 15% per annum during the coming three years according to the dual analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 11% each year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we find it odd that World Acceptance is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The softening of World Acceptance's shares means its P/E is now sitting at a pretty low level. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of World Acceptance's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for World Acceptance you should be aware of, and 1 of them can't be ignored.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than World Acceptance. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.