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To own Westlake, an investor needs to believe that structural demand for its housing and infrastructure products will offset near-term pressure from global chemical oversupply, cost inflation, and recent net losses. The latest debt reduction and ongoing dividend affirm the company’s focus on capital discipline, but do not materially shift the immediate catalyst: a sustained recovery in construction demand. However, persistent margin pressure from high feedstock and energy costs remains the biggest risk to the business right now, and this is unchanged following the latest news.
Among recent company announcements, Westlake’s third-quarter net loss of US$782 million underscores the continued margin challenges facing the business, even as the company prioritizes debt reduction and maintains its dividend. For investors, a return to profitability increasingly depends on improved cost control and stabilization in core product markets, given these headwinds.
By contrast, investors should also be aware of the ongoing effect of elevated North American energy costs on Westlake’s earnings and how...
Read the full narrative on Westlake (it's free!)
Westlake's narrative projects $13.0 billion in revenue and $893.8 million in earnings by 2028. This requires 3.5% yearly revenue growth and a $960.8 million increase in earnings from the current level of -$67.0 million.
Uncover how Westlake's forecasts yield a $82.21 fair value, a 39% upside to its current price.
Community fair value estimates for Westlake range from US$60.82 to US$82.21 across two perspectives in the Simply Wall St Community. While some expect recovery from cost challenges and margin compression, others foresee continued earnings pressure, highlighting the importance of comparing different viewpoints.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Westlake - why the stock might be worth as much as 39% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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