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CNO Financial Group (CNO): Exploring Valuation Following Recent Consistent Profitability

Simply Wall St·11/23/2025 20:12:18
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CNO Financial Group (CNO) shares are showing steady movement this week, with investors watching for cues on the insurance provider’s next strategic moves. Strong recent results and consistent profitability have drawn attention from those interested in the sector’s performance over the past month.

See our latest analysis for CNO Financial Group.

The steady momentum in CNO Financial Group’s share price reflects a market that is warming to its growth story, with a solid 8.9% year-to-date share price return and a remarkable 85.7% total shareholder return over the past three years. While short-term price moves have been mixed, long-term returns suggest investor confidence is building for the insurer’s next chapter.

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Given recent gains and a share price still trading at a meaningful discount to analyst targets, investors may wonder if CNO Financial Group remains undervalued or if the market has already factored in its growth prospects.

Most Popular Narrative: 6.8% Undervalued

With CNO Financial Group's fair value estimated at $43.40 and a last close price of $40.45, the most popular narrative points to meaningful upside. The spread between these numbers hints at optimism about future growth and profitability, despite only modest increases in analyst price targets.

Expansion of fee-based and asset-light products (such as advisory/brokerage assets up 27% YoY) is diversifying revenue streams, mitigating margin compression risk, and positioning CNO to benefit from increased consumer financial awareness and demand for holistic retirement solutions.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how much improvement in margins and earnings it takes to justify this fair value? The narrative relies on surprisingly bold growth and profit margin projections. Interested to see which financial levers are being pulled behind the scenes? Unpack the real story and discover the critical assumptions driving this valuation.

Result: Fair Value of $43.40 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, continued low interest rates or rising competition in annuities could put pressure on CNO’s margins and challenge its ability to meet growth expectations.

Find out about the key risks to this CNO Financial Group narrative.

Build Your Own CNO Financial Group Narrative

If you want to dive deeper and put your own perspective to the test, you can explore the numbers and build your own narrative in just a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your CNO Financial Group research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.