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Motorola Solutions (MSI): Assessing Valuation After Dividend Hike and Board Addition of Phillips 66 CEO

Simply Wall St·11/27/2025 07:33:40
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Motorola Solutions (MSI) is in the spotlight after announcing an 11% increase to its quarterly dividend and welcoming Mark Lashier, chair and CEO of Phillips 66, to its board of directors.

See our latest analysis for Motorola Solutions.

Despite the recent buzz from a bigger dividend and a powerhouse board addition, Motorola Solutions’ momentum has clearly faded this year, with a 16.8% drop in the past month and a share price now down 19.5% year-to-date. Longer-term investors, however, still see resilience in the story, thanks to a 40% total shareholder return over three years and 130% in five years. This shows that while the stock is caught in shifting sentiment now, its track record remains strong when zoomed out.

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With the stock noticeably off its highs but analysts projecting upside, investors have to wonder whether Motorola Solutions’ recent dip has set up a genuine bargain or if the market is already pricing in the company’s future growth potential.

Most Popular Narrative: 25.9% Undervalued

With a fair value estimate nearly 26% above the last close, the most widely followed narrative signals that Motorola Solutions could offer investors meaningful upside. The gap between current share price and perceived intrinsic value has caught the attention of analysts and market watchers alike.

The rapid adoption of integrated smart technologies, including AI-enhanced video security, spectrum monitoring, and advanced mesh networking through offerings like SVX and Silvus Mobile Ad Hoc Networks, is positioning Motorola to capitalize on the proliferation of smart cities and next-generation public safety applications. This is enabling high double-digit growth in software and services and supports higher-margin, recurring revenue streams.

Read the complete narrative.

Want to understand what’s really fueling this bullish outlook? One bold financial assumption underpins the entire valuation and it is tied directly to an aggressive profit expansion that rivals Silicon Valley’s best. Curious what future market dynamics and margin shifts support this target? See for yourself just how high this narrative sets the bar for Motorola’s financial future.

Result: Fair Value of $498.44 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, delayed government contract awards and rising competition from tech and defense firms remain key risks that could challenge Motorola Solutions’ positive outlook.

Find out about the key risks to this Motorola Solutions narrative.

Build Your Own Motorola Solutions Narrative

If you see Motorola’s outlook differently or want to dig into the numbers on your own terms, crafting a personalized take only takes a few minutes. Do it your way

A great starting point for your Motorola Solutions research is our analysis highlighting 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.