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For many investors, the Sherwin-Williams story centers on a belief in long-term market leadership, global expansion, and an ability to execute through changing demand cycles. The recent extension of US$75 million in credit commitments to 2030 may enhance financial flexibility but, in the current context, does not appear to significantly alter the most important short-term catalyst, the company’s aggressive store expansion strategy, or offset the biggest near-term risk from ongoing supply chain pressures and soft demand in key end markets.
Among recent announcements, Sherwin-Williams’ Q3 2025 results stand out, with revenue of US$6.36 billion and adjusted earnings per share exceeding expectations. This solid financial performance and sustained capital returns to shareholders underscore a focus on maintaining momentum and positioning for recovery, even as broader materials markets remain volatile.
However, investors should also be mindful of...
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Sherwin-Williams' outlook anticipates $26.3 billion in revenue and $3.4 billion in earnings by 2028. This projection is based on an annual revenue growth rate of 4.5% and represents a $0.9 billion earnings increase from the current $2.5 billion level.
Uncover how Sherwin-Williams' forecasts yield a $386.52 fair value, a 12% upside to its current price.
Some of the most optimistic analysts saw Sherwin-Williams’ revenue reaching US$26.9 billion by 2028, with profits topping US$3.9 billion, but they also viewed aggressive investment and direct distribution as key catalysts. This view is much more optimistic and highlights how different opinions can be. It is worth considering whether the amended credit agreement and ongoing supply chain risks could shift these expectations now that new information has emerged.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Sherwin-Williams - why the stock might be worth less than half the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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