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Albertsons Companies (ACI): Reassessing Valuation After Recent Share Price Weakness

Simply Wall St·12/03/2025 03:23:41
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Recent performance and context

Albertsons Companies (ACI) has been drifting lower this year, and with the stock now trading around 18, investors are increasingly weighing its steady grocery fundamentals against a choppy share price and pending strategic overhangs.

See our latest analysis for Albertsons Companies.

After a bumpy few months that left the 90 day share price return at minus 7.56 percent, Albertsons Companies now sits at 17.85, with a five year total shareholder return of 77.89 percent. This shows the longer term story is still constructive even as near term momentum has cooled.

If you are weighing Albertsons against other consumer names, it can help to compare its profile with auto makers and related plays by starting with auto manufacturers.

With modest growth, a solid value score, and the shares trading at a steep discount to analyst targets and intrinsic estimates, investors now face a key question: is Albertsons mispriced value, or has the market already captured its future growth?

Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 24.4% Undervalued

With Albertsons last closing at 17.85 against a narrative fair value of 23.63, the story leans firmly toward upside if its transformation plays out.

Modernization through technology investments, such as automation, AI driven inventory/pricing, and centralized buying, are streamlining operations, reducing labor and supply chain costs, and positioning the company for long term margin expansion and improved net earnings.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how modest revenue growth, slight margin gains, and a future earnings multiple combine to justify that target price? The narrative’s numbers may surprise you.

Result: Fair Value of $23.63 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, execution risks remain if e commerce scaling lags peers, or if labor and pricing pressures compress margins faster than efficiency and digital gains materialize.

Find out about the key risks to this Albertsons Companies narrative.

Build Your Own Albertsons Companies Narrative

If you want to stress test this story or lean on your own homework instead, you can build a custom view in under three minutes: Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Albertsons Companies research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.