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To own AEP, you need to be comfortable backing a large regulated utility that is leaning into heavy grid and generation investment while depending on regulators to keep returns attractive. The new US$3.50 billion at the market equity program supports its US$72.00 billion capex plan, but also raises the short term risk of earnings per share dilution, making execution on its largest projects and regulatory approvals even more important.
The most relevant recent update is AEP’s long term operating earnings growth target of 7 to 9 percent, underpinned by its US$72.00 billion capital investment plan and an expected 10 percent annual rate base increase. This connects directly to the new equity raise, since a larger rate base is intended to support higher earnings over time, while the expanded spending program adds to existing risks around supply chain costs, project delays and regulatory outcomes.
Yet behind this large investment story, investors should be aware of how much depends on shifting regulatory decisions in Ohio...
Read the full narrative on American Electric Power Company (it's free!)
American Electric Power Company's narrative projects $24.6 billion revenue and $4.1 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 6.0% yearly revenue growth and about a $0.5 billion earnings increase from $3.6 billion today.
Uncover how American Electric Power Company's forecasts yield a $128.68 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.
Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$92 to US$128.68, showing how far apart individual views on AEP can be. Against this backdrop, reliance on a huge US$72.00 billion capital plan to support earnings growth means those differing opinions reflect real uncertainty about how smoothly AEP can fund and recover such spending over time.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on American Electric Power Company - why the stock might be worth 23% less than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Create your own in under 3 minutes - extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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