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To own Domino’s today, you need to believe its global brand and franchise model can keep converting steady pizza demand into growing profits, even as category growth looks limited and competition remains intense. The recent UK leadership change and US board resignation do not appear to materially alter the near term catalyst, which is management’s focus on profit growth and market share gains, but they may sharpen attention on execution risk in weaker international markets.
The most relevant recent announcement here is management’s Q3 commentary that profit growth came in slightly ahead of expectations despite macro pressures. That message of resilient profitability sits alongside the leadership changes and keeps the spotlight on whether Domino’s can keep growing earnings once the benefit from newer initiatives like delivery partnerships and loyalty upgrades fades, particularly as the global pizza category shows signs of stagnation.
Yet behind that profit resilience, investors should be aware of the risk that a flat global pizza category and tougher comparisons could...
Read the full narrative on Domino's Pizza (it's free!)
Domino's Pizza's narrative projects $5.6 billion revenue and $720.0 million earnings by 2028. This requires 5.5% yearly revenue growth and about a $122.9 million earnings increase from $597.1 million today.
Uncover how Domino's Pizza's forecasts yield a $496.65 fair value, a 15% upside to its current price.
Three members of the Simply Wall St Community see Domino’s fair value between US$351 and US$497, underscoring how far opinions can stretch. Set against concerns about a flat global pizza category, this spread invites you to weigh several competing views on Domino’s ability to sustain growth and margins.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Domino's Pizza - why the stock might be worth 19% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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