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To own Disney today, you need to believe its media, streaming, and Parks & Experiences businesses can collectively convert its vast IP into durable cash flows, even as audience habits fragment and competition intensifies. The latest update, with streaming profitability, a US$7.00 billion buyback, and stronger Parks & Experiences earnings, supports the near term catalyst of improving cash generation, but does not eliminate the key risk that younger viewers continue shifting toward short form, user generated content.
The expanded US$7.00 billion share repurchase program is especially relevant, because it ties directly to Disney’s recent progress in earnings and cash flow while the company continues to invest heavily in content and park expansion. For investors watching the balance between shareholder returns and elevated spending on sports rights, cruises, and new attractions, this buyback scale makes it easier to track how much cash is being committed to owners versus long dated projects that could pressure margins if demand softens.
Yet while cash returns are rising, the growing reliance on premium sports rights and large park and cruise investments is a risk investors should be aware of if...
Read the full narrative on Walt Disney (it's free!)
Walt Disney's narrative projects $106.4 billion revenue and $11.9 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 4.0% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $0.3 billion from $11.6 billion today.
Uncover how Walt Disney's forecasts yield a $133.22 fair value, a 26% upside to its current price.
Nine Simply Wall St Community members now place Disney’s fair value between US$105.90 and US$133.22, underlining how far opinions can diverge. Set against that, the push to unify and scale Disney’s streaming apps may be an important swing factor for the company’s future earnings power, so it is worth weighing several different views before deciding how this fits in your portfolio.
Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Walt Disney - why the stock might be worth just $105.90!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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