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To own AbbVie, you generally have to believe its newer immunology, neuroscience and oncology drugs can offset Humira’s erosion and support the dividend despite high debt and thin recent margins. The latest atogepant migraine data and oncology updates support that diversification story but do not fundamentally change the near term focus on Skyrizi and Rinvoq growth or the key risk from pricing pressure and future patent cliffs.
Among the recent updates, the Phase 3 ECLIPSE results for atogepant stand out because they build on AbbVie’s existing migraine franchise and help reduce reliance on a concentrated immunology portfolio. If regulators ultimately clear atogepant for acute treatment, investors may view it as incremental support for earnings resilience, but the core questions around biosimilar competition and healthcare cost controls remain central.
Yet while that growth angle is appealing, investors should be aware that concentrated exposure to a few drug platforms could magnify the impact of any future safety or pricing shocks...
Read the full narrative on AbbVie (it's free!)
AbbVie’s narrative projects $73.0 billion revenue and $20.8 billion earnings by 2028. This requires 7.7% yearly revenue growth and a roughly $17.1 billion earnings increase from $3.7 billion today.
Uncover how AbbVie's forecasts yield a $243.55 fair value, a 8% upside to its current price.
Five Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for AbbVie span roughly US$227.78 to US$431.46 per share, showing how far apart individual views can be. Against that spread, the concentration risk in AbbVie’s immunology and neuroscience portfolios gives you an important lens to interpret how future pipeline wins or setbacks might affect the business.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on AbbVie - why the stock might be worth just $227.78!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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