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To own Ellington Financial, you have to believe its credit-focused, mortgage-centric model can keep generating enough earnings and cash flow to support sizeable distributions despite credit and funding risks. The latest common and preferred dividend declarations reinforce the income story but do not materially change the near term catalyst, which remains the company’s ability to sustain earnings after a strong 2025, or the key risk around dividend coverage in a tougher credit or funding backdrop.
The most relevant recent announcement alongside this dividend news is Ellington’s US$400.0 million unsecured note issuance, which added flexibility to support its expanding credit portfolio and ongoing distributions. Taken together, the raised capital and reaffirmed dividends speak to an investment case built on scale, access to funding markets, and the potential to benefit if non bank lenders continue to gain share in mortgage and consumer credit.
Yet, for income focused investors, the bigger question is what happens to Ellington’s generous dividend if funding markets tighten and...
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Ellington Financial's narrative projects $587.8 million revenue and $200.8 million earnings by 2028.
Uncover how Ellington Financial's forecasts yield a $14.53 fair value, a 6% upside to its current price.
Three members of the Simply Wall St Community currently see Ellington’s fair value between US$14.53 and US$21.34, reflecting a wide band of expectations. Against that backdrop, the concentration risk in non QM and other credit assets, coupled with reliance on securitization and repo markets, gives investors several important angles on how future earnings resilience could be tested or supported.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Ellington Financial - why the stock might be worth just $14.53!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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