DNOW Inc. (DNOW) is back in focus after Q1 2026 earnings linked its first full quarter with MRC Global to higher sales, a swing to a net loss, and ongoing ERP integration challenges.
See our latest analysis for DNOW.
The Q1 2026 update and renewed ERP challenges come after a sharp 20.02% decline in the 3 month share price return and a 13.95% fall in the 1 year total shareholder return. However, the 3 year total shareholder return of 39.05% suggests longer term holders still sit on gains, indicating that recent momentum has weakened even as management works through integration issues and continues buybacks.
If you are weighing DNOW's recent swings against other industrial and infrastructure plays, this could be a useful moment to scan 38 power grid technology and infrastructure stocks
With the stock down over the past year but still ahead on a 3 year view, and trading at what looks like a discount to analyst and intrinsic value estimates, are you looking at a genuine opportunity or a market that is already pricing in future growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 17.9% Undervalued
Against a last close of $13.14, the most followed narrative pins DNOW's fair value at $16, framing the recent pullback as a potential discount.
Focus on energy evolution sales, aiming to double in 2024, could improve revenue mix towards growing segments like carbon capture, utilization, and storage (CCUS), and renewable natural gas, indicating potential for higher margins from specialized products and services that support new energy technologies.
Curious what has to happen for that $16 fair value to hold up? The narrative leans heavily on faster revenue expansion, a margin reset, and a richer earnings multiple. The exact mix of those moving parts may surprise you.
Result: Fair Value of $16 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, this relies on ERP issues easing and energy evolution sales gaining traction. Weaker rig activity or project delays could quickly challenge that $16 narrative.
Find out about the key risks to this DNOW narrative.
Next Steps
With sentiment clearly split between concern over risks and optimism about rewards, this is a good time to review the full picture and decide where you stand. You can begin by reviewing 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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