Earnings setback and guidance cut put Kilroy Realty in focus
Kilroy Realty (KRC) moved into the spotlight after reporting a first quarter net loss tied to real estate asset impairments and cutting its full year 2026 earnings outlook, developments that many investors may want to reassess.
See our latest analysis for Kilroy Realty.
The latest quarterly loss and guidance cut come after a choppy stretch for the shares, with a 30 day share price return of 18.24% but a year to date share price return of 11.52%. Over the longer term, the stock has a 1 year total shareholder return of 10.39%, a 3 year total shareholder return of 43.29% and a 5 year total shareholder return of 34.98%, which points to momentum that has been mixed across timeframes.
If this kind of volatility has you looking beyond a single office and life science landlord, it could be a useful moment to broaden your watchlist and check out 17 top founder-led companies
There is a first quarter loss, a sharply lower 2026 earnings range and a share price trading at a discount to the average analyst target. Is Kilroy Realty now undervalued, or is the market already pricing in future growth?
Most Popular Narrative: 6.2% Undervalued
Kilroy Realty's most followed narrative pegs fair value at $35.86 versus a last close of $33.64, a small gap that still rests on some punchy assumptions.
The analysts have a consensus price target of $35.86 for Kilroy Realty based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $51.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $27.0.
Analysts are baking in modest revenue growth, shrinking margins and a much higher future earnings multiple to reach that fair value. Want to see exactly how those moving parts fit together, and which assumptions carry the most weight in the model?
Result: Fair Value of $35.86 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, there are clear risks to that fair value story, including weaker long term office demand and higher capital needs to keep ESG focused assets competitive and leased.
Find out about the key risks to this Kilroy Realty narrative.
Next Steps
Mixed messages on value and risk can be confusing, so do not wait too long to review the full picture. This includes 3 key rewards and 3 important warning signs
Looking for more investment ideas?
If Kilroy Realty has your attention, do not stop here. Use this momentum to widen your opportunity set and pressure test your thinking across other themes.
- Target strong value potential by scanning companies that pair quality fundamentals with attractive prices using the 51 high quality undervalued stocks
- Focus on resilience by checking out companies with robust financial footing through the solid balance sheet and fundamentals stocks screener (44 results)
- Build your own radar of lesser known opportunities by reviewing the screener containing 25 high quality undiscovered gems
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team@simplywallst.com