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To own Nicolet Bankshares today, you have to believe in its ability to integrate the MidWestOne merger, grow its balance sheet and steadily improve returns, even as earnings get choppy. The latest quarter underscores that tension: net interest income jumped to US$109.56 million, yet net income fell to US$15.2 million and net loan charge-offs more than doubled to US$833,000. At the same time, management raised the dividend to US$0.36 per share and kept buying back stock, signaling confidence and keeping capital returns as a near term catalyst, especially after the recent inclusion in the S&P Banks Select Industry Index. However, softer profitability, low recent return on equity and higher credit costs now move higher on the risk list, and may temper how investors view those growth forecasts and community fair value estimates.
However, rising charge-offs and still modest profitability are watchpoints investors should not overlook. Nicolet Bankshares' shares have been on the rise but are still potentially undervalued by 43%. Find out what it's worth.Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community currently span roughly US$174 to US$255 per share, reflecting very different views of upside. Set that against the latest quarter’s weaker earnings and higher charge-offs, and you can see why many investors are rethinking how much faith to place in Nicolet’s execution and capital return story over the next few years.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Nicolet Bankshares - why the stock might be worth just $174.20!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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