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To own Alexander’s today, you really have to believe in the value of its concentrated New York City portfolio and the reliability of its rental streams, even as earnings soften. The latest quarter underlines the tension: funds from operations fell and EPS dropped sharply, yet the REIT held its US$4.50 dividend and agreed to sell Rego Park I for US$235.50 million, with management expecting about US$202 million of net proceeds. In the near term, that sale and what the company does with the cash now sit at the center of the story, especially given high leverage and interest costs that are not well covered by earnings. At the same time, the stock’s double digit year to date gain suggests the market is already reacting to this evolving mix of income risk, asset sales and balance sheet questions.
Yet there is a concentration risk in Alexander’s tenant base that investors should not ignore.
Alexander's shares are on the way up, but they could be overextended by 43%. Uncover the fair value now.Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community cluster between about US$177 million and US$190 million, hinting at relatively tight private investor expectations. Set against Alexander’s weaker funds from operations and the pending Rego Park I sale, this spread shows how differently people can weigh tenant concentration, debt costs and asset recycling. You can compare these community views with your own read on the recent earnings miss and dividend stance.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Alexander's - why the stock might be worth 30% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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