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To own Solid Power, you have to believe its solid-state battery technology will eventually translate into meaningful commercial revenue, despite ongoing losses. The latest quarter showed revenue nearly halved year on year, but a smaller net loss hints at some cost discipline. For now, this does not materially change the near term catalyst, which remains evidence of commercial traction with OEMs, or the key risk that persistent losses and cash needs could pressure shareholders.
Against this backdrop, the recent US$130.0 million follow on equity offering is particularly relevant. It adds financial flexibility to keep funding R&D and scale up production, but it also underlines the risk of further dilution if commercial revenues remain limited. How effectively this new capital supports progress toward OEM milestones will be central to how investors reassess both the upside potential and the downside risks after a weaker revenue quarter.
Yet even with these positives, investors should be aware that dilution risk remains elevated if revenue recovery stalls and...
Read the full narrative on Solid Power (it's free!)
Solid Power's narrative projects $35.7 million revenue and $2.0 million earnings by 2029. This requires 25.8% yearly revenue growth and a $95.4 million earnings increase from -$93.4 million today.
Uncover how Solid Power's forecasts yield a $7.00 fair value, a 140% upside to its current price.
By contrast, the most pessimistic analysts were only expecting about US$36.4 million of revenue and US$1.7 million of earnings by 2028, so this weaker quarter may push you to question whether those already cautious assumptions and concerns about continued dilution still feel conservative or perhaps closer to your own view of Solid Power’s risk profile.
Explore 7 other fair value estimates on Solid Power - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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