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To own WaFd, you need to be comfortable with a regional bank leaning into its Build 2030 shift toward higher margin commercial and small business banking while managing funding pressures. The latest Q2 2026 beat and firmer 2.81% net interest margin support that thesis, but do not remove the key near term risk around deposit competition and higher borrowing and operating costs potentially squeezing profitability.
The most relevant recent development here is WaFd’s continued capital returns, with 2,738,096 shares repurchased in Q2 2026 for US$87.21 million under its long running buyback program. This sits alongside regular dividends and improving credit metrics, and together they frame how management is balancing shareholder returns with the need to preserve flexibility as it pushes toward a more commercial banking heavy loan book.
Yet even with stronger earnings and credit protection, investors should also weigh the risk that rising funding and expense pressures could...
Read the full narrative on WaFd (it's free!)
WaFd's narrative projects $886.1 million revenue and $269.3 million earnings by 2028. This requires 7.3% yearly revenue growth and about a $57.9 million earnings increase from $211.4 million today.
Uncover how WaFd's forecasts yield a $31.00 fair value, a 13% downside to its current price.
Three fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span US$31 to US$37, reflecting a wide range of individual views on WaFd. Readers can weigh these against the Build 2030 shift toward higher yielding commercial and small business lending, which could matter a lot for how the bank’s profitability evolves over time.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on WaFd - why the stock might be worth 13% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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