
Find out why Zebra Technologies's -20.0% return over the last year is lagging behind its peers.
A Discounted Cash Flow, or DCF model, projects a company’s future cash flows and then discounts them back to today’s value, aiming to estimate what the entire business could be worth right now.
For Zebra Technologies, the model uses last twelve months free cash flow of about $833.3 million and projects future free cash flows out to 2035 using a 2 stage Free Cash Flow to Equity approach. Analyst estimates cover the nearer years, with cash flows such as $920.1 million in 2026 and $1,291.0 million by 2030. Later years are extrapolated by Simply Wall St rather than based on new analyst forecasts.
Bringing all those projected cash flows back to today generates an estimated intrinsic value of about $392.29 per share. Compared with a recent share price around $241.79, the model implies Zebra Technologies trades at roughly a 38.4% discount to this DCF estimate. On these cash flow assumptions, the stock appears undervalued within the model framework.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis suggests Zebra Technologies is undervalued by 38.4%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 44 more high quality undervalued stocks.
For profitable companies, the P/E ratio is a straightforward way to see how much you are paying for each dollar of earnings, which makes it a useful cross check on the DCF view you saw earlier.
What counts as a "normal" P/E depends on how the market views a company’s growth potential and risk. Higher growth and lower perceived risk usually justify a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk tend to keep a lid on it.
Zebra Technologies currently trades on a P/E of about 27.9x. That is in line with the broader Electronic industry average of about 27.9x, and sits below the peer group average of roughly 64.9x. Simply Wall St also provides a "Fair Ratio" of 30.0x, which is the P/E level estimated for Zebra Technologies after factoring in elements such as its earnings growth profile, industry, profit margins, market cap and specific risks.
This Fair Ratio is more tailored than a simple comparison with peers or the industry, since those benchmarks do not fully adjust for company specific strengths and weaknesses. With the actual P/E of 27.9x sitting below the Fair Ratio of 30.0x, the multiple suggests the stock is trading at a discount to that modelled fair level.
Result: UNDERVALUED
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Earlier it was mentioned that there is an even better way to make sense of valuation, so meet Narratives, a simple tool on Simply Wall St’s Community page that lets you connect your view of Zebra Technologies’ story to a set of forecasts and a Fair Value, then compare that to today’s price to decide whether the stock looks expensive or cheap based on your own assumptions.
Do you think there's more to the story for Zebra Technologies? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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