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To own Qualcomm, you need to believe its core mobile and licensing engine can fund a credible shift into AI, automotive and data center silicon, even as handset earnings are forecast to decline and competition tightens. The expanded Stellantis deal directly supports the near term automotive growth catalyst, but it does not remove the key risk that new data center and AI products remain early and unproven at scale.
Among recent announcements, Qualcomm’s confirmation that automotive revenue is running at over US$5,000 million annually and guided to exceed US$6,000 million by fiscal 2026 stands out. In the context of the Stellantis expansion, this reinforces automotive as a second pillar beside smartphones, but also raises the stakes: if these newer segments or hyperscaler custom silicon programs slip, the company remains tied more closely to cyclical handset demand than many shareholders might prefer.
Yet beneath the excitement around Stellantis and AI, investors should be aware that rising client in house chip efforts and open architectures could still...
Read the full narrative on QUALCOMM (it's free!)
QUALCOMM's narrative projects $48.8 billion revenue and $11.0 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 3.1% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.1 billion earnings increase from $9.9 billion today.
Uncover how QUALCOMM's forecasts yield a $168.50 fair value, a 29% downside to its current price.
Some of the most cautious analysts were assuming near flat revenues around US$42,500 million and earnings of about US$10,200 million by 2028, so if you are weighing this Stellantis news against those expectations, it is worth recognizing that these lower estimates reflect a much more pessimistic view of Qualcomm’s diversification and handset risks that may or may not shift as these automotive and AI developments play out.
Explore 21 other fair value estimates on QUALCOMM - why the stock might be worth 41% less than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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