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To own Lazard, you need to believe that its mix of financial advisory and asset management can justify ongoing investment in expansion and talent, even as past revenue growth and earnings per share have been sluggish. The latest quarter’s revenue growth but earnings miss, and the stock’s pullback, reinforce the near term risk that higher costs outpace revenue, while the key catalyst remains whether recent hires and acquisitions start to support margins more visibly. So far, this news does not materially change that balance.
The announcement most tied to this story is the planned June 10 fireside discussion with CEO Peter Orszag at the Morgan Stanley U.S. Financials Conference. Coming so soon after a quarter that disappointed relative to expectations, this event gives Lazard an opportunity to clarify how acquisitions like Campbell Lutyens and elevated operating expenses fit into its broader plan for its advisory and asset management franchises, and how management is thinking about near term profitability pressures.
Yet behind Lazard’s expansion push, investors should also be aware of the risk that rising compensation and operating costs could keep net margins under pressure while...
Read the full narrative on Lazard (it's free!)
Lazard's narrative projects $4.6 billion revenue and $522.4 million earnings by 2029. This requires 12.9% yearly revenue growth and about a $250.9 million earnings increase from $271.5 million today.
Uncover how Lazard's forecasts yield a $52.38 fair value, a 9% upside to its current price.
Before this quarter, the most pessimistic analysts were already cautious, assuming revenue of about US$4.1 billion and earnings near US$687.0 million by 2028, and their view highlights how sharply opinions can diverge from the more optimistic story of expanding advisory capabilities that depends on expensive senior talent staying productive and well aligned with shareholder returns.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Lazard - why the stock might be worth just $52.38!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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