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To own Fair Isaac, you need to believe that its core FICO Score franchise can stay relevant while the higher growth FICO Platform and related software steadily deepen into clients’ workflows. The recent UltraFICO launch and new Marketplace fraud and identity tools support that thesis, but do not remove the near term risk around regulatory shifts and lender choice in U.S. mortgage scoring, which still hangs over FICO’s pricing power and Score concentration.
Among the recent announcements, the general availability of the next generation UltraFICO Score is most central here, because it speaks directly to the risk that alternative data and open banking could weaken traditional scores. By bringing cash flow insights into an industry standard score delivered through Plaid, UltraFICO fits squarely into the catalyst of modernizing FICO’s scoring stack while trying to address concerns around inclusion, model relevance, and evolving lender needs.
Yet, against that opportunity, investors should be aware that growing regulatory attention on score transparency and data use could still...
Read the full narrative on Fair Isaac (it's free!)
Fair Isaac’s narrative projects $3.5 billion revenue and $1.4 billion earnings by 2029.
Uncover how Fair Isaac's forecasts yield a $1553 fair value, a 25% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest estimate analysts were already cautious, assuming about US$3.3 billion of revenue and US$1.3 billion of earnings by 2029, so if you worry that tighter data rules could clip FICO’s pricing power even as new tools like UltraFICO and Marketplace partnerships roll out, it is worth recognizing how far apart views on the stock can be and exploring how this new wave of product news might nudge those narratives over time.
Explore 18 other fair value estimates on Fair Isaac - why the stock might be worth as much as 66% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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