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To own Autoliv, you need to believe that tighter global safety regulation and rising safety content per vehicle can offset tariff pressure, slower light vehicle production, and OEM pricing demands. The new Vårgårda Innovation Center strengthens Autoliv’s ability to refresh its product portfolio and compress development cycles, but it does not fundamentally change near term risks around tariffs and customer pricing, which still look like the key swing factors for earnings and cash flow.
Among recent announcements, the discontinuation of manufacturing operations in Türkiye, with a planned closure by the first half of 2028 and an expected pre tax charge of about US$142,000,000, ties most directly into the current risk narrative. Consolidating production into other EMEA plants may support efficiency initiatives and help defend margins as Autoliv faces ongoing pricing pressure from large OEMs, while also freeing resources that can be aligned with innovation efforts like the new Vårgårda center.
Yet even as Autoliv invests in innovation and efficiencies, investors should be aware that persistent OEM pricing pressure could...
Read the full narrative on Autoliv (it's free!)
Autoliv's narrative projects $12.0 billion revenue and $924.0 million earnings by 2029.
Uncover how Autoliv's forecasts yield a $132.18 fair value, in line with its current price.
Four Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Autoliv span roughly US$126.97 to US$171.79, reflecting wide variation in individual outlooks. When you weigh those views against risks like slower global light vehicle production, it becomes clear how important it is to compare several perspectives before forming your own expectations for the business.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Autoliv - why the stock might be worth as much as 32% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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