
The Excess Returns model looks at how much profit Truist Financial generates on its equity compared with the return that shareholders require, then capitalises that difference into an intrinsic value per share.
For Truist Financial, the starting point is an estimated Book Value of $47.60 per share and a Stable EPS of $5.12 per share, based on weighted future Return on Equity estimates from 12 analysts. The Average Return on Equity used in the model is 9.80%, while the Cost of Equity is $4.12 per share. The difference between what the equity is expected to earn and what investors require is an Excess Return of $1.00 per share.
The model also incorporates a Stable Book Value of $52.24 per share, again based on analyst estimates, to project how these excess returns might persist over time. Combining these inputs gives an estimated intrinsic value of $75.30 per share. Compared with the recent share price of $49.43, this implies the stock is 34.4% undervalued on this framework.
Result: UNDERVALUED
Our Excess Returns analysis suggests Truist Financial is undervalued by 34.4%. Track this in your watchlist or portfolio, or discover 46 more high quality undervalued stocks.
For a profitable company like Truist Financial, the P/E ratio is a useful way to relate what you are paying for the stock to the earnings it generates per share. It gives a quick sense of how the market prices each dollar of earnings.
What counts as a "normal" or "fair" P/E often reflects two things: how quickly earnings are expected to grow and how risky those earnings are perceived to be. Higher expected growth or lower perceived risk can justify a higher P/E, while slower growth or higher risk can point to a lower one.
Truist Financial currently trades on a P/E of 11.86x. That compares with an average P/E of 11.75x for the Banks industry and a peer average of 13.74x. Simply Wall St also calculates a proprietary Fair Ratio of 13.12x for Truist Financial, which aims to capture what the P/E could be given factors such as earnings growth, profit margins, industry, market cap and risk. This Fair Ratio can be more tailored than a simple peer or industry comparison because it adjusts for the company’s specific profile rather than relying on broad averages. On this framework, the current P/E of 11.86x sits below the Fair Ratio of 13.12x.
Result: UNDERVALUED ON THIS METRIC
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Earlier, the article mentioned that there is an even better way to understand valuation. Narratives are introduced as a simple tool that lets you attach a clear story about Truist Financial to the numbers, link that story to a financial forecast, and then see a fair value that you can compare with the current share price on the Simply Wall St Community page. This page updates as fresh data, news or earnings arrive. One investor might build a Truist Financial Narrative around the higher analyst target of US$63.00 with stronger revenue, earnings and margin assumptions, while another might lean toward the US$45.00 low target with more cautious assumptions. Those different stories naturally lead to different views on whether the current price looks attractive or stretched.
Do you think there's more to the story for Truist Financial? Head over to our Community to see what others are saying!
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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