Stock performance snapshot
G-III Apparel Group (GIII) has drawn fresh attention after a solid stretch in the stock, with the share price around $34.07 and gains over the past week, month and past 3 months.
For context, the company shows a year to date return and a 1 year total return, with revenue of about $2.9b and net income of roughly $126.1m. This gives investors a current snapshot of scale and profitability.
See our latest analysis for G-III Apparel Group.
Recent trading has been strong, with a 30-day share price return of 12.59% and a 90-day share price return of 30.09%. The 1-year total shareholder return of 57.59% points to sustained positive momentum.
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With the stock up strongly over the past year and trading around $34.07, the key question now is whether G-III Apparel Group is still undervalued or if the recent run means markets are already pricing in future growth.
Most Popular Narrative: 14.8% Undervalued
At a last close of $34.07 versus a fair value of $40 in the most followed narrative, G-III Apparel Group is framed as trading at a discount that hinges on how its brand mix and balance sheet play out over time.
The PVH license roll-off (~$470M of lower-margin revenue exiting by FY2028) is a known, finite, manageable headwind. The owned-brand revenue replacing it (DKNY, Karl Lagerfeld, Donna Karan) carries structurally higher gross margins, potentially driving margin expansion even on lower absolute revenues.
According to MRT23, this fair value leans heavily on how far higher margin brands can reshape earnings, what long term growth rate those brands can sustain, and the profit multiple the market is willing to pay if that shift sticks. Want to see how those moving parts come together in one valuation story?
Result: Fair Value of $40 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, this hinges on tariffs not hitting harder than expected and on key wholesale customers remaining healthy enough to support G-III’s licensing and distribution model.
Find out about the key risks to this G-III Apparel Group narrative.
Another view on value
That $40 narrative fair value leans on brand mix and margins, but our DCF model points in a different direction. On future cash flows, G-III Apparel Group screens as overvalued at $34.07 versus an estimate of $20.16, which raises the question: which story are you more comfortable with?
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out G-III Apparel Group for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 48 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.
Next Steps
With the market clearly torn between risk and reward, this is a moment to move quickly, review the underlying data yourself, and weigh up the 1 key reward and 2 important warning signs 1 key reward and 2 important warning signs
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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