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To own D-Market, you need to believe in its ability to turn a large e commerce platform, payments and logistics ecosystem into a more efficient, financially sustainable business despite ongoing losses. The key short term catalyst remains execution on logistics and payments integration, while the biggest risk is continued margin pressure and cash burn. The leadership reshuffle, with Ender Özgün as CEO and a dedicated delivery CEO, looks important but does not yet change those core near term drivers in a material way.
The most relevant recent development here is Kaspi.kz’s acquisition of a 66.35% stake in D-Market for about US$1.12 billion. That deal sits in the background of this leadership transition and frames expectations around tighter execution in logistics, payments and marketplace operations, which are central to both the potential benefits of Kaspi’s ecosystem and the ongoing risks around rising operating costs and free cash flow pressure.
Yet investors should also weigh the risk that rising logistics and delivery investment could still strain free cash flow and margins over time...
Read the full narrative on D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret (it's free!)
D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret's narrative projects TRY223.5 billion revenue and TRY18.1 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 36.0% yearly revenue growth and a TRY24.3 billion earnings increase from -TRY6.2 billion today.
Uncover how D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret's forecasts yield a $3.31 fair value, a 13% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were already cautious, assuming revenue around TRY128.5 billion by 2028, and see heavy logistics investment as a threat to margins, so this leadership shift may well prompt them to rethink how much risk or upside they see.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on D-Market Elektronik Hizmetler ve Ticaret - why the stock might be worth just $3.31!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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