T-Mobile US, Inc. (NASDAQ:TMUS) stock gained over 2% on Monday as risk appetite improved and buyers returned to large-cap names after a choppy stretch. The Nasdaq is up 1.69%, the S&P 500 is up 0.78%, and Communication Services is up 0.27%.
The stock drew an upgrade from BofA Securities analyst Michael Funk, who said investors have become too bearish on telecom risks.
BofA Upgrades T-Mobile To Buy
Funk upgraded T-Mobile to Buy from Neutral and kept his $220 price forecast unchanged. He said the market has overreacted to concerns around low-Earth orbit (LEO), competition, and broader telecom disruption.
Funk said T-Mobile faces the lowest exposure to LEO broadband and wireless threats. He noted that T-Mobile has a stronger market share in dense urban markets, while LEO direct-to-device service appears to be more focused on rural and underserved areas.
Pricing Flexibility Supports Growth
Funk said T-Mobile has the most wireless pricing flexibility among U.S. operators because of its lower-priced back book. He said that supports the company’s 2.5% to 3% postpaid ARPA growth forecast and could help drive revenue and margin expansion.
Funk said T-Mobile’s recent selloff goes well beyond competitive risks, with the stock down 15% year-to-date and trading at a trough price-to-free-cash-flow valuation. He based the $220 price forecast on a 12.7-times free cash flow multiple, below the company’s historical average of 17.3 times.
Technical Analysis
TMUS is trading just 0.7% above its 20-day SMA ($180.83), which puts it back on top of the shortest-term trend gauge and helps explain why dip-buyers are showing up here. The stock remains 2.4% below its 50-day SMA ($186.53) and 10.7% below its 200-day SMA ($203.77), keeping the intermediate and long-term trend pressure intact.
Earnings & Analyst Outlook
Following last quarter’s results, investors are now tracking the path toward the next reporting date on July 23, 2026 (confirmed).
- EPS Estimate: $2.58 (Down from $2.84 YoY)
- Revenue Estimate: $22.98 Billion (Up from $21.13 Billion YoY)
- Valuation: P/E of 18.9x (Suggests fair valuation relative to peers)
Top ETF Exposure
- The Communication Services Select Sector SPDR Fund (NYSE:XLC): 4.55% Weight
- Fidelity MSCI Communication Services Index ETF (NYSE:FCOM): 3.31% Weight
- Brown Advisory Sustainable Value ETF (NASDAQ:BASV): 3.14% Weight
Significance: Because TMUS carries significant weight in these funds, any significant inflows or outflows will likely trigger automatic buying or selling of the stock.
Price Action
TMUS Stock Price Activity: T-Mobile US shares were up 2.11% at $181.27 at the time of publication on Monday, according to Benzinga Pro data.
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