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To own InnovAge, you need to believe its PACE-focused, value-based care model can someday translate growing revenue into sustainable profitability, despite ongoing losses and rising operating costs. The recent removal from multiple Russell value indices mainly affects technical ownership and liquidity rather than the core near term business catalysts or the central risks around cost inflation, regulatory exposure, and execution on new center expansion.
The most relevant recent announcement here is InnovAge’s Q3 FY2026 update, where management raised full year revenue guidance to US$950 million to US$975 million while reporting a wider net loss of US$29.46 million. Taken together with the index removals, this combination of higher expected revenue and persistent losses keeps the focus squarely on whether InnovAge can eventually align cost growth, de novo center ramp up, and compliance spending with its top line trajectory.
Yet behind the index changes and upbeat revenue guidance, investors should still be aware of the risk that persistently high cost growth could...
Read the full narrative on InnovAge Holding (it's free!)
InnovAge Holding’s narrative projects $1.2 billion revenue and $165.3 million earnings by 2029.
Uncover how InnovAge Holding's forecasts yield a $7.00 fair value, a 42% downside to its current price.
Two Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates range from US$7 to US$29.57 per share, underscoring how far apart individual views can be. You should weigh those against the concern that InnovAge’s rising cost of care and de novo losses could pressure margins for longer than expected, and consider how that might influence the company’s ability to improve performance over time.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on InnovAge Holding - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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