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To own Laureate, you have to believe its focus on Mexico and Peru, combined with expanding digital programs, can translate into resilient enrollment and earnings despite concentrated country risk and rising online competition. The broad removal from Russell value and small cap indices may create short term trading pressure or shifts in the shareholder base, but it does not directly change the company’s core operational catalyst right now, which is execution against its 2026 revenue guidance and upcoming Q2 results.
The most relevant recent announcement, in my view, is Laureate’s reaffirmed full year 2026 revenue guidance of US$1,890 million to US$1,905 million, alongside continued buybacks. This guidance frames the key near term catalyst around whether reported enrollment and pricing trends in Mexico and Peru support those targets, while the buyback program, with US$324 million already deployed, interacts with potential index driven selling by absorbing shares and influencing liquidity and per share metrics.
Yet beneath the index changes, one risk investors should be aware of is how concentrated exposure to Mexico and Peru could interact with...
Read the full narrative on Laureate Education (it's free!)
Laureate Education's narrative projects $2.3 billion revenue and $373.6 million earnings by 2029. This requires 9.1% yearly revenue growth and about a $93.8 million earnings increase from $279.8 million today.
Uncover how Laureate Education's forecasts yield a $40.25 fair value, in line with its current price.
Compared with the baseline story, the lowest analysts were already more cautious, assuming only 6.9% annual revenue growth to about US$2.1 billion and earnings near US$328.6 million by 2029, so you should weigh whether June’s index removal could reinforce that more pessimistic view or ultimately prove those concerns too harsh.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Laureate Education - why the stock might be worth 8% less than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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