
U.S. stock futures declined on Wednesday, as the Dow Jones, Nasdaq 100, and S&P 500 indices fell, following Tuesday’s lower close.
President Donald Trump, while speaking in Ankara ahead of a NATO summit in the Turkish capital, said that the memorandum of understanding signed with Iran to end the conflict was “over,” according to Reuters.
This followed as American military actions targeting Iran late Tuesday reignited anxieties in the Middle East. CENTCOM said that “U.S. Central Command forces have begun launching a series of powerful strikes against Iran to impose heavy costs for targeting and attacking commercial shipping crewed by innocent civilians in an international waterway.”
Investors are also awaiting the minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee meeting with Kevin Warsh as the new Chairman, which will be released later today.
Meanwhile, the 10-year Treasury bond yielded 4.56%, and the two-year bond was at 4.20%. The CME Group’s FedWatch tool’s projections show markets pricing a 72.7% likelihood of the Federal Reserve leaving the current interest rates unchanged during July’s meeting.
| Index | Performance (+/-) |
| Dow Jones | -1.17% |
| S&P 500 | -0.96% |
| Nasdaq 100 | -1.35% |
| Russell 2000 | -1.47% |
The SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (NYSE:SPY) and Invesco QQQ Trust ETF (NASDAQ:QQQ), which track the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100, respectively, were lower in premarket on Wednesday. The SPY was down 0.82% at $741.59, while the QQQ declined by 1.04% to $702.06.
Most sectors on the S&P 500 closed on a positive note, led by health care, real estate and energy, though information technology and industrials bucked that trend to push major indexes down.
| Index | Performance (+/-) | Value |
| Dow Jones | -0.25% | 52,925.15 |
| S&P 500 | -0.45% | 7,503.85 |
| Nasdaq Composite | -1.16% | 25,818.69 |
| Russell 2000 | -0.90% | 2,982.49 |
In its Midyear Outlook 2026, LPL Financial expects modest gains from the U.S. stock market and a moderating but positive economic growth environment.
LPL Research maintains a moderate equity overweight, driven by corporate earnings strength linked to artificial intelligence. Chief Investment Officer Marc Zabicki notes that “strength in earnings is a key reason we have added to our 2026 return expectations for equities,” though he cautions that “midterm election years make for a bumpy investment ride.”
LPL highlights that the bull market should continue, supported by the ongoing AI execution. On the economic front, LPL anticipates GDP growth to stay under 2% in the latter half of the year, though a recession is not in its baseline forecast.
Business spending on AI infrastructure and equipment is projected to counterbalance softer segments like housing. LPL’s Chief Economist, Jeffrey Roach, indicates that “strong business investment—anchored by AI—will help offset weakness in housing.”
Furthermore, inflation is expected to gradually ease to around 2.9% by year-end, provided that geopolitical friction in the Middle East and energy supply channels settle down.
Here’s what investors will be keeping an eye on Wednesday.
Crude oil futures were trading higher in the early New York session by 6.08% to hover around $74.73 per barrel.
Gold Spot US Dollar fell 0.84% to hover around $4,071.07 per ounce. The U.S. Dollar Index spot was 0.05% higher at the 101.0780 level.
Meanwhile, Bitcoin (CRYPTO: BTC) was trading 1.76% higher at $61,928.15 per coin over the last 24 hours.
Asian markets closed mostly lower on Wednesday. India’s Nifty 50 index, Australia’s ASX 200, South Korea’s Kospi, Japan’s Nikkei 225, China’s CSI 300, and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng indices fell. European markets were lower in early trade.
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