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To own Diamondback Energy, you have to be comfortable with a Permian-focused producer whose story centers on scale, cost control, and disciplined capital returns. Its addition to the Russell 1000 Value-Defensive and Russell 1000 Defensive indices may broaden the shareholder base and potentially smooth trading, but it does not materially change the near term focus on execution, cost inflation risks in the Permian, or exposure to commodity price swings with a less robust hedge book.
The news of Diamondback joining the Russell defensive indices sits alongside its recent upsized 2026 production guidance and ongoing capital return program. In early May 2026, the company raised full year oil production guidance to at least 520 MBO/d while continuing to repurchase shares and lift its base dividend. That combination of higher planned output and steady cash returns is central to how many investors view the current catalysts for the stock.
Yet in contrast, investors should be aware that rising water, power, and other operating costs in the Permian could still materially affect...
Read the full narrative on Diamondback Energy (it's free!)
Diamondback Energy's narrative projects $16.5 billion revenue and $4.9 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 4.5% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $4.6 billion from $279.0 million today.
Uncover how Diamondback Energy's forecasts yield a $232.17 fair value, a 29% upside to its current price.
Compared with consensus, the most cautious analysts saw 2029 earnings at about US$4.4 billion and a lower P/E, which frames index inclusion and breakeven improvements as potentially less reassuring than they first appear.
Explore 9 other fair value estimates on Diamondback Energy - why the stock might be worth 20% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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