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To own Itron, you need to believe in long term adoption of smart grid and water metering, and in the company’s ability to turn that demand into steady cash flows. Its removal from several Russell growth and small cap indices mainly affects who holds the shares rather than the underlying utility contracts, so it does not materially change the near term focus on executing large projects or the key risk around delays in regulatory approvals and customer deployments.
The recent announcement of Itron’s Q2 2026 revenue guidance of US$560 million to US$570 million sits alongside the index removals as a more direct reference point for near term fundamentals. For investors watching the smart infrastructure thesis, this guidance helps frame expectations for how quickly the existing backlog and recent water metering wins convert into reported revenue, against a backdrop where larger, regulated projects can still slow or slip in timing.
Yet while index changes may feel technical, investors should be aware that prolonged regulatory or utility bottlenecks could...
Read the full narrative on Itron (it's free!)
Itron's narrative projects $2.7 billion revenue and $313.0 million earnings by 2029. This requires 5.0% yearly revenue growth and about a $24 million earnings increase from $289.0 million today.
Uncover how Itron's forecasts yield a $126.70 fair value, a 51% upside to its current price.
Five members of the Simply Wall St Community currently value Itron between US$71.50 and US$126.70, underlining how far opinions can stretch. You can weigh those views against the risk that large, regulated smart grid and water projects face prolonged approval and deployment delays, which could influence how quickly Itron’s contracted opportunities show up in its reported results.
Explore 5 other fair value estimates on Itron - why the stock might be worth 15% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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