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To own CACI, you need to believe that long term demand for complex, technology driven federal missions will keep supporting its backlog and earnings. The latest VA and Army awards modestly reinforce that backdrop, but they do not remove nearer term risks around federal budget timing, contract consolidation, and competition that could still make results lumpier than headline guidance suggests.
The six year, up to US$308 million VA iFAMS modernization contract looks most relevant, because it fits directly into CACI’s push toward higher value, software heavy modernization work. If this kind of ERP and systems transformation work scales across agencies, it could help offset pressure from pricing and talent costs, but it also increases CACI’s exposure to any slowdown or reprioritization in civilian IT modernization spending.
Yet despite these contract wins, investors should still be aware that...
Read the full narrative on CACI International (it's free!)
CACI International's narrative projects $12.0 billion revenue and $758.9 million earnings by 2029. This requires 9.3% yearly revenue growth and roughly a $222 million earnings increase from $536.9 million today.
Uncover how CACI International's forecasts yield a $676.71 fair value, a 39% upside to its current price.
Some of the lowest ranked analysts were already assuming only about 8.8% annual revenue growth to roughly US$11.8 billion and thinner margins, so if you worry that rising automation could undercut traditional service work, this more cautious view may resonate and the latest contract wins might or might not shift that picture.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on CACI International - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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