Recently, the National Marine Environment Forecasting Center's comprehensive ocean monitoring, atmospheric circulation, and multi-model prediction results have determined that this fall and winter will form a super-strong El Niño event, which may surpass 1997/1998, and is expected to break through the extreme values of history. Surveillance shows that from January to May this year, the five-month average sea surface temperature in China was 0.52 degrees Celsius higher than the average sea temperature for the same period from 1991 to 2020. The abnormally high sea temperature in the offshore sea will pose a threat to the safety of our marine ecology, particularly mariculture. Experts explained that the super-strong El Niño event will cause fewer typhoons to occur in the northwest Pacific and South China Sea, but the typhoon will be more intense, so we need to focus on preventing disastrous waves, storm surges, and seawater flooding disasters caused by strong typhoons. Precipitation in the Yangtze River Basin is expected to be abnormally high in the summer of 2027. The risk of extreme flooding is high, and flood control pressure is severe. In mountainous and hilly areas, care must also be taken to prevent geological disasters caused by flash floods caused by heavy rainfall.

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