Uber Technologies (UBER) has been in focus after Foot Locker agreed to bring more than 1,000 Foot Locker, Kids Foot Locker, and Champs Sports locations onto the Uber Eats retail marketplace for on demand and scheduled delivery.
See our latest analysis for Uber Technologies.
Despite the new retail partnerships and the proposed Delivery Hero acquisition, Uber Technologies’ recent share price performance has cooled, with the share price down over the year to date while the 3 year and 5 year total shareholder returns remain solidly positive. This points to longer term holders still being ahead overall.
If this kind of commerce expansion has your attention, it could be a good moment to look at other potential beneficiaries of digital trends through our screener for 18 top founder-led companies
Uber Technologies looks like a scaled, profitable platform expanding into wider commerce, yet the stock has declined over the past year. Does that recent weakness leave Uber fairly priced for what it is today, or already rich?
Most Popular Narrative: 13.2% Undervalued
According to a widely followed narrative, Uber Technologies has a fair value of $83.18 per share, compared with a last close of $72.17, which frames the current weakness in a different light.
Uber’s recent moves in Türkiye are hard to ignore. In the past year, $UBER has committed over $1B across Trendyol Go and Getir delivery assets, paying ~0.34 to 0.41x gross bookings for businesses operating at ~4% global EBITDA margins. That’s meaningful capital deployed into what they clearly view as a long-term growth market.
Want to know what sits underneath that $83.18 fair value for Uber Technologies? The narrative leans heavily on profit margins, forward earnings power and a valuation multiple usually reserved for mature platform stocks. Curious which assumptions have the most impact on that number and how sensitive the outcome is if they shift slightly? The full narrative breaks those moving parts down in plain terms.
Result: Fair Value of $83.18 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, there are still clear risks to the Uber Technologies narrative, including weaker than expected Türkiye delivery returns or profit margins falling short of those embedded assumptions.
Find out about the key risks to this Uber Technologies narrative.
Next Steps
With mixed sentiment around Uber Technologies, this is a good moment to move quickly, review both sides of the story and weigh the 4 key rewards and 2 important warning signs
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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