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HEXPOL (OM:HPOL B) Stock Faces Margin Compression As 9.9% Net Profit Challenges Bullish Narratives
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HEXPOL (OM:HPOL B) has opened Q2 2026 reporting with Q1 figures that set the stage, reporting revenue of about SEK4.8 billion and net income of SEK507 million, which equates to basic EPS of SEK1.47. The company has seen quarterly revenue move between roughly SEK4.3 billion and SEK5.4 billion over the past five reported periods, with EPS ranging from SEK0.98 to SEK1.75. This gives investors a clearer view of how earnings have tracked alongside a trailing net profit margin that sits just under 10%. With shares around SEK84.30 and margins slightly softer than a year ago, the focus now is squarely on how durable profitability looks from here.

See our full analysis for HEXPOL.

With the headline numbers on the table, the next step is to see how HEXPOL's latest results line up with the prevailing growth and risk narratives that investors have been following.

See what the community is saying about HEXPOL

OM:HPOL B Earnings & Revenue History as at Jul 2026
OM:HPOL B Earnings & Revenue History as at Jul 2026

Margins Ease Back To 9.9%

  • HEXPOL's trailing net profit margin is reported at 9.9%, compared with 10.6% a year earlier, alongside trailing 12 month revenue of about SEK18.7 billion and net income of SEK1.8 billion.
  • Bears highlight that five year earnings have declined at about 1.2% per year, and the margin slip from 10.6% to 9.9% feeds their concern that profitability could be under pressure, even though:
    • Recent quarters still show solid absolute profit levels, with Q1 2026 net income at SEK507 million on SEK4.8 billion of revenue.
    • The consensus view expects profit margins to move toward 10.7% over the next few years, which contrasts with the historical drift lower in earnings.

Valuation Gap Versus DCF Fair Value

  • At a share price of SEK84.30, HEXPOL is cited as trading below a DCF fair value of SEK144.98 and on a P/E of 15.7x versus 19.8x for the European chemicals industry and 24.8x for peers.
  • Consensus narrative suggests that growth opportunities in advanced polymers and thermoplastics could justify this valuation gap, yet the current numbers leave room for debate because:
    • Trailing revenue is characterized as growing around 2.2% per year and earnings forecasts of roughly 6% per year are relatively moderate compared with the 46% gap to the DCF fair value.
    • Analysts point to expansion in higher value materials and acquisitions as drivers for margins and earnings resilience, while the recent five year earnings trend declining about 1.2% per year shows the business has not yet reflected that story in historical results.
On a valuation that screens as inexpensive against both peers and the stated DCF fair value, it is worth seeing how bullish investors connect these price levels to their growth expectations for HEXPOL.🐂 HEXPOL Bull Case

Income Appeal With 4.98% Yield

  • The stock carries a reported dividend yield of 4.98% alongside trailing 12 month EPS of about SEK5.37 and net income of SEK1.8 billion on SEK18.7 billion of revenue.
  • Consensus narrative sees HEXPOL as using operational efficiency and a strong balance sheet to support earnings resilience, which matters for income oriented investors because:
    • Forecasts for earnings growth of roughly 6% per year and expectations for margins to move from 9.9% toward 10.7% would, if achieved, provide more room to sustain both dividends and reinvestment.
    • At the same time, prior multi year earnings softness and slightly lower trailing margins underline why some investors may focus on the quality and durability of those cash flows rather than the headline yield alone.

Next Steps

To see how these results tie into long-term growth, risks, and valuation, check out the full range of community narratives for HEXPOL on Simply Wall St. Add the company to your watchlist or portfolio so you'll be alerted when the story evolves.

If the mixed signals around HEXPOL leave you curious rather than certain, take a closer look at the numbers yourself and move quickly to shape your own view. You can start with the 4 key rewards.

See What Else Is Out There

HEXPOL's softer net margin, modest trailing revenue growth of about 2.2% per year, and declining five year earnings trend leave some investors questioning the overall growth profile.

If you are concerned that this subdued earnings trend could limit your upside, it is worth hunting for companies that screen as attractively valued with stronger momentum through the 236 high quality undervalued stocks.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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