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To hold Reliance, I think you need to believe in its role as a U.S.-focused metals processor that benefits from infrastructure, industrial and data center spending, while managing cyclical pricing and cost pressures. The latest quarter’s higher sales, earnings and record tons sold support that thesis in the near term, while the border wall contract and rising LIFO expense sharpen the short term trade policy and cost inflation risks rather than fundamentally changing them.
Among recent announcements, the completion of Reliance’s long running US$4,935.62 million share repurchase program, covering 47,125,366 shares, stands out alongside the strong Q2 results. Ending this buyback phase matters for investors focused on EPS support and capital returns, especially as Reliance continues to invest heavily in value added processing and acquisitions that underpin its volume and margin catalysts but also increase exposure to weaker demand or pricing.
Yet investors should also be aware that if cost inflation persists and Reliance cannot fully pass through higher input prices...
Read the full narrative on Reliance (it's free!)
Reliance's narrative projects $17.1 billion revenue and $1.1 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 4.9% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $300 million from $804.6 million today.
Uncover how Reliance's forecasts yield a $386.25 fair value, a 5% downside to its current price.
Two fair value estimates from the Simply Wall St Community span roughly US$232 to US$386 per share, showing just how far private views can stretch. Against that backdrop, Reliance’s record volumes and border wall contract impact sit alongside rising input cost and LIFO expense headwinds, so it makes sense to compare several different opinions before deciding how this earnings story might fit your portfolio.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Reliance - why the stock might be worth as much as $386.25!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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