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To own Wärtsilä, you need to believe that decarbonization, flexible power, and higher value services can keep lifting profitability, even when sales are flat or slightly down. The latest Q2 and half‑year results, with higher earnings on marginally lower sales, support that margin-focused view in the short term, while the biggest near-term risk remains any slowdown or lumpiness in large engine and power project orders. For now, this earnings release does not materially change that risk profile.
The recent decision to carve out the Energy Storage business into a 50/50 joint venture with RCT Solutions is particularly relevant here, as it alters how future storage-related earnings will be reported and potentially shared. With Q2 Energy Storage already treated as discontinued operations, investors tracking Wärtsilä’s profitability drivers may increasingly focus on the core engine, data center and service franchises as the nearer-term catalysts for earnings per share.
Yet beneath the improving profits, there is still the question of how exposed Wärtsilä remains to large, lumpy project orders that investors should be aware of...
Read the full narrative on Wärtsilä Oyj Abp (it's free!)
Wärtsilä Oyj Abp's narrative projects €8.4 billion revenue and €871.9 million earnings by 2029. This requires 6.7% yearly revenue growth and about a €222 million earnings increase from €650.0 million today.
Uncover how Wärtsilä Oyj Abp's forecasts yield a €32.33 fair value, a 5% upside to its current price.
Some of the most optimistic analysts were already assuming earnings could reach about €1.0 billion by 2029, but Q2’s profit improvement and the risk of order lumpiness may prompt you to rethink whether that faster growth path or a more cautious view fits better with your own expectations.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Wärtsilä Oyj Abp - why the stock might be worth 32% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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