Note: These figures reflect diluted GAAP earnings per share, reported before non-recurring items, and may differ from the non-GAAP figures used by some sources.
Part 2.1: Price Behavior Around Earnings
Standex reports after market close, meaning Day 0 reflects anticipatory trading before results are released, while Day +1 captures the market's first full reaction to the actual numbers.
| Earnings Date | Day 0 Move | Day 0 Range | Day +1 Move | Day +1 Range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | +$19.94 (+7.88%) | $21.04 (8.31%) | -$24.37 (-8.93%) | $40.11 (14.69%) |
| 2026-01-29 | +$4.13 (+1.71%) | $9.98 (4.13%) | -$6.19 (-2.51%) | $34.40 (13.97%) |
| 2025-10-30 | -$5.72 (-2.34%) | $9.14 (3.74%) | -$5.48 (-2.30%) | $20.67 (8.66%) |
| 2025-07-31 | -$0.38 (-0.23%) | $3.45 (2.09%) | +$16.42 (+9.97%) | $18.54 (11.25%) |
| 2025-05-01 | +$3.43 (+2.43%) | $6.78 (4.79%) | +$14.20 (+9.80%) | $13.61 (9.40%) |
| 2025-01-30 | +$1.41 (+0.76%) | $3.14 (1.70%) | -$3.86 (-2.07%) | $11.91 (6.38%) |
| 2024-10-29 | +$2.58 (+1.44%) | $6.08 (3.39%) | +$7.28 (+4.00%) | $8.60 (4.73%) |
| 2024-08-01 | -$6.29 (-3.37%) | $10.40 (5.57%) | -$2.43 (-1.35%) | $8.91 (4.94%) |
| Avg Abs Move | 2.52% | 4.21% | 5.12% | 9.25% |
Historical price action shows significant volatility around Standex earnings, with the stock averaging a 5.12% absolute move on Day +1 and a 9.25% trading range. The most recent report (April 2026) triggered the largest reaction in the dataset, with the stock surging +7.88% on Day 0 and experiencing a 14.69% intraday range on Day +1, ultimately closing down -8.93% from the prior close.
The pattern reveals asymmetric risk, with several reports producing double-digit percentage swings. The January 2026 report saw a 13.97% Day +1 range, while July 2025 produced a +9.97% Day +1 move. Even when Day 0 moves are modest (as in October 2025's -2.34%), the Day +1 follow-through can be substantial.
Investors should prepare for material price movement following tomorrow's release, with historical data suggesting a move in the 5-10% range is typical, and swings exceeding 10% are not uncommon when results or guidance deviate meaningfully from expectations.
Part 2.2: Options Market Expected Move
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Expiration Date | 08/21/26 (DTE 23) |
| Expected Move | $0.00 (0.00%) |
| Expected Range | $274.46 to $274.46 |
| Implied Volatility | 47.58% |
The options market is pricing in a 0.00% expected move, which appears to be a data anomaly given the stock's historical earnings volatility averaging over 5% on Day +1. Based on the historical pattern of 5-10% post-earnings moves, options traders may be underpricing the potential for volatility if this zero reading is accurate, or the data may simply be unavailable for this expiration cycle.
Part 3: What Analysts Are Saying
Analysts maintain a strongly bullish stance on Standex heading into earnings, with the consensus rating at 4.67 out of 5.00—firmly in Strong Buy territory. The breakdown shows 5 Strong Buy ratings, 0 Moderate Buys, 1 Hold, and no Sell ratings among the 6 analysts covering the stock, reflecting broad confidence in the company's prospects.
The average price target of $293.80 implies +7.06% upside from the current price of $274.46, with estimates ranging from a low of $260.00 to a high of $340.00. The wide range in targets (over $80 spread) suggests differing views on valuation, though even the low-end target sits near current levels, indicating limited perceived downside among the analyst community.
Sentiment has remained unchanged over the past month, with the Strong Buy count and overall rating holding steady at 5 and 4.67 respectively. This stability suggests analysts are maintaining conviction despite the stock's recent pullback from higher levels, viewing the current setup as an opportunity rather than a reason for concern. The lack of any Sell ratings is particularly notable given the stock's premium valuation and strong recent run.
Part 4: Technical Picture
The Barchart Technical Opinion shows a Buy signal at 40%, representing a significant deterioration from 80% Buy one week ago and 100% Buy one month ago. This sharp decline in technical strength suggests mounting near-term pressure as the stock heads into earnings.
Timeframe Analysis:
- Short-term (50% Buy): Moderate buy signal indicates near-term momentum has weakened considerably from recent highs
- Medium-term (50% Buy): Neutral-to-positive reading suggests the intermediate trend remains constructive despite recent softness
- Long-term (50% Buy): Moderate buy signal reflects the stock's longer-term uptrend remains intact above key support levels
Trend Characteristics: The technical environment shows Average strength with the Weakest direction, indicating the stock is losing momentum at a critical juncture heading into the earnings release.
The current price of $274.46 sits below all short-term moving averages—the 5-day ($298.01), 10-day ($301.45), 20-day ($308.73), and 50-day ($300.87)—signaling a clear breakdown in near-term momentum. However, the stock remains above the 100-day ($281.28) and 200-day ($260.78) moving averages, indicating the longer-term uptrend structure is still intact.
| Period | Value | Period | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-Day MA | $298.01 | 50-Day MA | $300.87 |
| 10-Day MA | $301.45 | 100-Day MA | $281.28 |
| 20-Day MA | $308.73 | 200-Day MA | $260.78 |
The technical setup heading into earnings is cautionary, with the stock experiencing a sharp pullback from recent highs and trading below all short-term moving averages. The 100-day moving average at $281.28 represents the next key support level just above current prices, while the 200-day at $260.78 marks critical long-term support. A strong earnings beat could provide the catalyst needed to reclaim the $300 level and short-term moving averages, while a miss or weak guidance could test the 100-day support. The deteriorating technical momentum adds risk to an already volatile earnings setup, making the fundamental results and forward guidance even more critical for determining the stock's next directional move.