Investors in El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A.B. de C.V. (BMV:LIVEPOLC-1) had a good week, as its shares rose 4.0% to close at Mex$104 following the release of its quarterly results. Results look mixed - while revenue fell marginally short of analyst estimates at Mex$57b, statutory earnings beat expectations 4.7%, with El Puerto de Liverpool. de reporting profits of Mex$3.83 per share. This is an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance in its report, look at what experts are forecasting for next year, and see if there has been any change to expectations for the business. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest statutory forecasts to see whether the analysts have changed their mind on El Puerto de Liverpool. de after the latest results.
After the latest results, the eleven analysts covering El Puerto de Liverpool. de are now predicting revenues of Mex$235.2b in 2026. If met, this would reflect a credible 2.3% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to grow 14% to Mex$15.80. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of Mex$240.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of Mex$15.81 in 2026. So it looks like the analysts have become a bit less optimistic after the latest results announcement, with revenues expected to fall even as the company is supposed to maintain EPS.
Check out our latest analysis for El Puerto de Liverpool. de
The average price target was steady at Mex$121even though revenue estimates declined; likely suggesting the analysts place a higher value on earnings. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. Currently, the most bullish analyst values El Puerto de Liverpool. de at Mex$195 per share, while the most bearish prices it at Mex$100.00. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's pretty clear that there is an expectation that El Puerto de Liverpool. de's revenue growth will slow down substantially, with revenues to the end of 2026 expected to display 4.7% growth on an annualised basis. This is compared to a historical growth rate of 10.0% over the past five years. Compare this against other companies (with analyst forecasts) in the industry, which are in aggregate expected to see revenue growth of 11% annually. Factoring in the forecast slowdown in growth, it seems obvious that El Puerto de Liverpool. de is also expected to grow slower than other industry participants.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Unfortunately, they also downgraded their revenue estimates, and our data indicates underperformance compared to the wider industry. Even so, earnings per share are more important to the intrinsic value of the business. Still, earnings per share are more important to value creation for shareholders. The consensus price target held steady at Mex$121, with the latest estimates not enough to have an impact on their price targets.
Keeping that in mind, we still think that the longer term trajectory of the business is much more important for investors to consider. We have forecasts for El Puerto de Liverpool. de going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
You can also see whether El Puerto de Liverpool. de is carrying too much debt, and whether its balance sheet is healthy, for free on our platform here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.