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To be comfortable as a shareholder in Air Products and Chemicals, you need to believe in its role as a large industrial gases supplier with long-duration projects in hydrogen and related energy transition markets. The latest quarter’s swing to a net loss, driven by charges linked to project exits, does not change that core thesis, but it does sharpen attention on near term execution risk around large clean energy investments and whether these projects can translate into more dependable earnings.
The most relevant recent announcement is the company’s decision not to proceed with the Louisiana Clean Energy Complex, which resulted in up to US$2.9 billion of pre tax charges in Q3 2026 and fed directly into the reported net loss. This decision brings the existing risk around heavy capital expenditure and project timing into clearer focus, since delays, write downs or cancellations on major hydrogen and ammonia projects can weigh on returns and extend the period of unproductive capital in process.
Yet investors should be aware that the real pressure point may be how much future earnings depend on large projects that are still...
Read the full narrative on Air Products and Chemicals (it's free!)
Air Products and Chemicals' narrative projects $16.0 billion revenue and $3.9 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 8.4% yearly revenue growth and a $3.9 billion earnings increase from -$47.3 million today.
Uncover how Air Products and Chemicals' forecasts yield a $342.42 fair value, a 16% upside to its current price.
Three members of the Simply Wall St Community see fair value for Air Products between US$342.42 and US$351.06 per share, highlighting differing expectations. You should weigh these views against the heightened execution risk around large hydrogen and ammonia projects and consider how such project outcomes could affect future profitability and balance sheet flexibility.
Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Air Products and Chemicals - why the stock might be worth as much as 19% more than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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