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According to the latest weekly survey by the American Association of Individual Investors, more and more retail investors are optimistic about stock market performance in the next six months, but the optimism ratio is still below the historical average. This is the third time in the past four weeks that this situation has occurred. The share of bullish investors rose to 37% from 31% last week, close to but slightly below the historical average of 37.5%. The share of bearish investors fell to 38% from 42.2% last week, but has been above the historical average of 31.5% for the sixth month in a row. The share of investors with a neutral view fell from 26.9% to 25%, falling below the historical average of 31.0% for the 22nd time in the past 23 weeks. AAII's special survey on interest rate policies this week shows that Main Street investors are not generally calling for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. 55.1% of respondents believe that the Fed's decision to keep interest rates on overnight loans unchanged last week was correct; 30.6% of investors think the Fed should raise interest rates. In contrast, the percentage of investors who think the Fed should cut interest rates is only 5.6%, down from 8.7% who say they are “uncertain or have no opinion.”
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According to the latest weekly survey by the American Association of Individual Investors, more and more retail investors are optimistic about stock market performance in the next six months, but the optimism ratio is still below the historical average. This is the third time in the past four weeks that this situation has occurred. The share of bullish investors rose to 37% from 31% last week, close to but slightly below the historical average of 37.5%. The share of bearish investors fell to 38% from 42.2% last week, but has been above the historical average of 31.5% for the sixth month in a row. The share of investors with a neutral view fell from 26.9% to 25%, falling below the historical average of 31.0% for the 22nd time in the past 23 weeks. AAII's special survey on interest rate policies this week shows that Main Street investors are not generally calling for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. 55.1% of respondents believe that the Fed's decision to keep interest rates on overnight loans unchanged last week was correct; 30.6% of investors think the Fed should raise interest rates. In contrast, the percentage of investors who think the Fed should cut interest rates is only 5.6%, down from 8.7% who say they are “uncertain or have no opinion.”
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