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To own Western Midstream Partners, you need to believe its fee-based midstream model can keep throughput high enough to support distributions while funding large growth projects without overreaching on capital. The latest revenue beat and higher volumes support the near term throughput catalyst, but do not remove the key risk that heavy future spending and potential equity issuance could pressure per unit economics if producer activity slows.
Among the recent updates, the shelf registration for up to 19,389,239 common units stands out next to this quarter’s strong operating performance. It sits directly against the core catalyst of volume driven cash flow growth, because any future use of that shelf would intersect with concerns about dilution and how Western Midstream balances growth spending with sustaining its current US$3.72 per unit annualized distribution.
Yet investors should pay close attention to how any future capital raises could affect per unit earnings and distributions...
Read the full narrative on Western Midstream Partners (it's free!)
Western Midstream Partners' narrative projects $5.1 billion revenue and $1.8 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 7.6% yearly revenue growth and an earnings increase of about $0.6 billion from $1.2 billion today.
Uncover how Western Midstream Partners' forecasts yield a $45.75 fair value, in line with its current price.
Two Simply Wall St Community fair value estimates for Western Midstream span a wide range, from US$45.75 up to about US$125.11, showing how far apart individual views can be. Set against strong recent throughput growth, this spread underlines why you may want to compare several risk and growth assumptions before deciding how Western Midstream fits into your own expectations.
Explore 2 other fair value estimates on Western Midstream Partners - why the stock might be worth over 2x more than the current price!
Disagree with existing narratives? Extraordinary investment returns rarely come from following the herd, so go with your instincts.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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