Tokyo Ohka Kogyo Co., Ltd. (TSE:4186) last week reported its latest interim results, which makes it a good time for investors to dive in and see if the business is performing in line with expectations. Results overall were respectable, with statutory earnings of JP¥278 per share roughly in line with what the analysts had forecast. Revenues of JP¥140b came in 2.7% ahead of analyst predictions. The analysts typically update their forecasts at each earnings report, and we can judge from their estimates whether their view of the company has changed or if there are any new concerns to be aware of. We thought readers would find it interesting to see the analysts latest (statutory) post-earnings forecasts for next year.
After the latest results, the 13 analysts covering Tokyo Ohka Kogyo are now predicting revenues of JP¥291.9b in 2026. If met, this would reflect a decent 10% improvement in revenue compared to the last 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are predicted to rise 5.0% to JP¥351. In the lead-up to this report, the analysts had been modelling revenues of JP¥290.4b and earnings per share (EPS) of JP¥349 in 2026. The consensus analysts don't seem to have seen anything in these results that would have changed their view on the business, given there's been no major change to their estimates.
View our latest analysis for Tokyo Ohka Kogyo
The analysts reconfirmed their price target of JP¥11,408, showing that the business is executing well and in line with expectations. That's not the only conclusion we can draw from this data however, as some investors also like to consider the spread in estimates when evaluating analyst price targets. There are some variant perceptions on Tokyo Ohka Kogyo, with the most bullish analyst valuing it at JP¥14,000 and the most bearish at JP¥6,000 per share. This is a fairly broad spread of estimates, suggesting that analysts are forecasting a wide range of possible outcomes for the business.
Taking a look at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can understand these forecasts is to see how they compare to both past performance and industry growth estimates. It's clear from the latest estimates that Tokyo Ohka Kogyo's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with the forecast 21% annualised revenue growth to the end of 2026 noticeably faster than its historical growth of 13% p.a. over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to grow their revenue at 5.0% per year. It seems obvious that, while the growth outlook is brighter than the recent past, the analysts also expect Tokyo Ohka Kogyo to grow faster than the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that there's been no major change in sentiment, with the analysts reconfirming that the business is performing in line with their previous earnings per share estimates. Fortunately, they also reconfirmed their revenue numbers, suggesting that it's tracking in line with expectations. Additionally, our data suggests that revenue is expected to grow faster than the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.
Following on from that line of thought, we think that the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. We have estimates - from multiple Tokyo Ohka Kogyo analysts - going out to 2028, and you can see them free on our platform here.
And what about risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Tokyo Ohka Kogyo you should know about.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.