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To own Targa Resources, you need to believe in its ability to convert its Permian and Gulf Coast footprint into resilient, fee-based cash flows while managing competition and capital intensity. The latest quarter’s higher net income and earnings per share support that earnings-focused thesis, but do not materially change the near term balance between a stronger profit base and the ongoing risk of midstream overbuild and pricing pressure in core regions.
The most relevant recent announcement here is the continued, modest use of the August 2024 US$1,000.0 million buyback authorization, with 308,102 shares repurchased for US$80.0 million in Q2 2026. While small in percentage terms, this capital return sits alongside elevated earnings, and together they frame how management is allocating cash at a time when investors are watching for signs that competitive and regulatory risks could eventually weigh on margins.
Yet behind these strong earnings, the risk that midstream overbuild compresses fees and margins is something investors should be aware of as...
Read the full narrative on Targa Resources (it's free!)
Targa Resources' narrative projects $25.9 billion revenue and $3.2 billion earnings by 2029. This requires 16.0% yearly revenue growth and about a $1.1 billion earnings increase from $2.1 billion today.
Uncover how Targa Resources' forecasts yield a $297.29 fair value, a 16% upside to its current price.
Four members of the Simply Wall St Community see Targa’s fair value between US$227.53 and US$559.72, reflecting very different expectations about upside. Against that wide range, the recent step up in profitability and capital returns sits beside unresolved concerns about potential midstream overbuild and fee pressure, which could be important for how Targa’s future performance is ultimately judged.
Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Targa Resources - why the stock might be worth 11% less than the current price!
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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