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Upwork Cuts Profit Forecast, Warns of Near-Term AI Headwinds
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Upwork Inc. (NASDAQ:UPWK) shares are trading lower on Tuesday after it reported second-quarter earnings after Monday’s market close, although the results failed to impress investors.

Adjusted EPS was 41 cents, beating the 34 cents consensus estimate. Revenue totaled $191.66 million, topping the $189.96 million analyst forecast but declining from $194.94 million in the year-ago quarter.

Earnings Snapshot

Gross Services Volume (GSV) decreased 4% year-over-year to $966 million, reflecting pressure from AI automation, weaker new-client additions and a soft labor market.

However, revenue from higher-margin initiatives grew 15% year-over-year, driven by Ads, Dynamic Pricing, Connects and Business Plus, lifting the take rate to 19.8%.

Active clients totaled 763,000, while GSV per active client hit a record $5,230, up 5% year over year and marking the eighth straight quarter of sequential growth.

Average spend per contract also reached a record high, extending its year-over-year growth streak to six quarters.

Business Plus GSV jumped 174% year over year, while AI strategy and consulting GSV increased 51%. GSV from explicitly AI-related jobs rose 22% year over year and 5% sequentially, reaching an annualized run rate of about $330 million.

Adjusted gross margin stood at 77% as the company continued to manage infrastructure and support costs.

Free cash flow was $35.9 million despite restructuring-related payments. Upwork also secured a new $150 million revolving credit facility, with a $50 million accordion, to support debt repayment, capital allocation, potential M&A and share buybacks.

The company repurchased about 164,000 shares in the second quarter and 8.3 million shares year to date.

Outlook

For full-year 2026, the company lowered adjusted EPS guidance to $1.38-$1.43 from $1.50-$1.55, below the $1.55 estimate. Revenue guidance was cut to $730 million-$750 million from $760 million-$790 million, versus the $776.3 million consensus.

Its restructuring plan targets $70 million in annualized cost savings, with about $40 million expected in 2026.

Upwork expects third-quarter adjusted EPS of $0.31-$0.33, below the $0.41 analyst estimate, with revenue projected at $176 million-$184 million versus the $193.7 million consensus.

Management said AI remains a near-term drag on some work categories but is also creating new demand for AI talent and human-AI teams.

UPWK Price Action: Upwork shares were down 12.36% to $8.61 at the time of publication on Tuesday, according to Benzinga Pro data.

Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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