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Target Q2 Earnings Beat Looks Great — Until You Strip Out Tariff Refunds
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Shares of Target Corp (NYSE:TGT) rallied in early trading on Wednesday, after the company reported its second-quarter results.

The company reported strong sales and traffic, but its high earnings beat was driven by tariff benefits, according to JPMorgan analyst Christopher Horvers

The Target Analyst: Horvers reiterated a Neutral rating on the stock.

While the company reported earnings of $4.11 per share, surpassing consensus of $2.34 per share, excluding tariff refunds of $1.65 per share, earnings were in-line with expectations, Horvers said in the note.

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He highlighted the following from Target’s second-quarter print:

  • Same-store sales growth of 3.8% came in higher than consensus of 2.5%.
  • Management indicated "broad-based strength," with traffic up 3.6%, stores growing 2.7%, and digital higher by 8.7%.
  • All six merchandising categories recorded growth during the quarter, including +DD Fun101 and +HSD F&B and Beauty.
  • Non-merchandising sales grew 20%+ on Roundel, Target Circle 360, and Target+.
  • Gross margin expanded by 470 basis points (bps) to 33.7%, topping Street expectations of 29.8%, due to tariff refund benefits of 170 bps.

Target raised its full-year net sales growth guidance to around 5%, from its earlier projection of 4%, the analyst stated. This was above consensus of 4.3%, he added.

Horvers noted that management also revised the following full-year forecasts:

  • Operating margin expansion to 140 bps (50 bps excluding tariff refunds), from prior 20 bps. Higher than consensus of 40 bps.
  • Earnings of $9.90-$10.90 per share ($8.25-$9.25 per share excluding tariff refunds), from prior $7.50-$8.50 per share. The midpoint of $8.75 per share excluding tariff refunds came in higher than consensus of $8.55 per share.

TGT Price Action: Shares of Target had risen by 4.93% to $160.00 at the time of publication on Wednesday.

Image: Shutterstock

Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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