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Short Sellers Are Losing Big on Palantir — Here's the Data
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Palantir Technologies Inc. (NASDAQ:PLTR) has become the single biggest pain point for short sellers in a market rally that is squeezing bears across the board, according to new data from S3 Partners. 

The firm tracks a basket of stocks that score 70 or higher on its 0-100 squeeze scale, meaning conditions are ripe for shorts to get forced out of their positions. Twenty-four names currently qualify for that basket, and the cohort has climbed 13.4% month-to-date, pressuring short sellers across the board.

Palantir’s Outlier Position

Short interest in Palantir now totals $12 billion. That’s the largest dollar short in the basket and well above its $3.37 billion average. The stock is also the group’s biggest gainer, up 41.4% month-to-date. It carries the largest mark-to-market loss for shorts at $5 billion. 

Benzinga’s short-interest tracker shows bets against Palantir have generally kept growing even as the stock climbs, adding to those unrealized losses. Yet the position covers just 3% of float, leaving the stock with the lowest crowded score in the basket at 32.5. 

Few short sellers are involved, but those involved picked the wrong side.

Mark-To-Market Losses Mount

Recent mark-to-market losses across the basket total roughly $15 billion, and close to two-thirds of that sits in just three names. Palantir accounts for $5 billion, followed by Lumentum Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:LITE) at $3.1 billion and Super Micro Computer Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) at $1.3 billion. 

All three are also the basket’s biggest movers, each up more than 34%.

The Squeeze Score 

S3 Partners builds its squeeze score on top of a separate crowded score, which grades how tightly packed a short position is using short-dollar size, stock loan liquidity, trading volume and short interest. The squeeze score then layers on rising stock-borrow costs and mark-to-market losses, since those factors typically force short sellers to cover.

Palantir’s pain fits a broader pattern across the basket, where the average squeeze score now sits at 80.8. 

Fox Corp. (NASDAQ:FOXA), Workday Inc. (NASDAQ:WDAY) and Super Micro all hit the maximum reading of 100. 

Leon Gross, S3 Partners’ director of research, summed up the dynamic: a rising market acts like the tide, lifting all boats — and every squeeze score with them.

The Most Crowded Shorts

Charter Communications Inc. (NASDAQ:CHTR) and Fox carry the heaviest crowding scores, at 85 and 80, followed by EchoStar Corp. (NASDAQ:ECHO) and Skyworks Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ:SWKS) at 77.5 each, against a 62.0 average. 

Benzinga’s tracking shows Charter Communications’ short interest at 50.40% of its float, the heaviest in the basket.

Photo: Shutterstock

Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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