According to CME's “Federal Reserve Watch”, the probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until September is 63.8%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 36.2%. The probability that the Federal Reserve will keep interest rates unchanged until October is 51.8%, the probability of raising interest rates by 25 basis points is 41.4%, and the probability of raising interest rates by 50 basis points is 6.8%.

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