Regis Resources (ASX:RRL) has drawn fresh attention after releasing full year 2026 results, reporting sales of A$2,349.1m and net income of A$715.11m, compared with A$1,647.41m and A$254.36m a year earlier.
See our latest analysis for Regis Resources.
Regis Resources shares have reacted strongly to the full year 2026 earnings release, with an A$8.23 latest close, a 39.49% 1 month share price return and a very large 3 year total shareholder return. Together, these factors suggest momentum has been building as investors reassess both growth potential and risk.
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After such a sharp move in Regis Resources and with the share price now sitting close to some analyst and intrinsic value estimates, the real question is where fair value actually falls across that range.
Most Popular Narrative: 2.7% Undervalued
Based on the most followed narrative, Regis Resources has a fair value of A$8.46, which sits only slightly above the latest A$8.23 close, so the upside case relies on a specific earnings and project pipeline story rather than a big valuation gap.
Regis's significant financial flexibility, demonstrated by the repayment of all corporate debt and a robust cash and bullion balance of $517 million, enables strategic investment in organic and inorganic growth projects, underpinning long-term earnings growth.
Want to see what kind of revenue path, margin uplift and future P/E multiple that narrative leans on? The full story sets a clear profit roadmap with surprisingly punchy assumptions baked into that A$8.46 fair value.
Result: Fair Value of A$8.46 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, Regis Resources investors still need to watch for setbacks at McPhillamys or a weaker gold price, either of which could quickly challenge this upbeat narrative.
Find out about the key risks to this Regis Resources narrative.
Another View on Regis Resources Valuation
The Simply Wall St DCF model paints a slightly different picture for Regis Resources. On that approach, the fair value comes out at A$8.09 per share, compared with the current A$8.23 price, which points to the stock trading a touch above that estimate rather than being clearly undervalued. For you as an investor, the question is which set of assumptions feels more realistic.
Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.
Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Regis Resources for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 14 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.
Next Steps
With sentiment this positive around Regis Resources, it makes sense to review the full data yourself and not just the headlines. If you want to understand why some investors are optimistic about its upside, take a closer look at the 3 key rewards
Looking for more investment ideas beyond Regis Resources?
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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