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Sun Communities (SUI) Could Be 41% Below Fair Value After Index Inclusion
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Index changes put Sun Communities on more investor radars

Sun Communities (SUI) has been added to the S&P Composite 1500, S&P 1000 and S&P 400 as of 13 August 2026, bringing the stock into several widely followed US equity benchmarks.

See our latest analysis for Sun Communities.

At a share price of US$121.66 on 19 August 2026, Sun Communities has experienced softer short term share price performance over the past quarter. Its three year total shareholder return remains positive, although this comes alongside a weaker five year total shareholder return.

If the index inclusion has you thinking about portfolio changes, it can also be useful to broaden your watchlist and check out 19 top founder-led companies

Sun Communities now trades at US$121.66 while analyst targets cluster around US$139 and some intrinsic value work points to a bigger gap. So where does a reasonable fair value range actually land after the index move?

Price-to-earnings of 108.6x for Sun Communities: Is it justified?

On a P/E basis, Sun Communities trades at 108.6x earnings, which is high relative to both its recent share price softness and its sector peers.

The P/E ratio compares the company’s share price to its earnings per share. For a residential REIT like Sun Communities, this multiple reflects how much investors are currently prepared to pay for each dollar of earnings, often influenced by expectations around income stability, growth in funds from operations and asset quality.

In Sun Communities' case, several factors sit behind this elevated multiple. The company only became profitable over the last year and its reported earnings carry large one off items, including a loss of $240.3m in the last 12 months to 30 June 2026 that affects the quality of historic results. Earnings are also forecast to grow 41.5% per year and are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years, which can support a richer multiple, although current return on equity of 2% is considered low and is forecast to remain below typical high return thresholds in 3 years' time. Analysts’ target price is described as relatively close to the current share price, with the target less than 20% higher, which suggests only a modest upside implied by that reference point.

The comparison with peers is where the premium becomes clearest. Sun Communities' P/E of 108.6x is materially higher than the Global Residential REITs industry average of 20.6x and well above the peer average of 54.2x. It is also expensive compared to an estimated fair P/E of 61.4x, a level that regression analysis suggests the market could move towards if expectations normalise or if earnings track closer to sector norms.

Explore the SWS fair ratio for Sun Communities

Result: Price-to-earnings of 108.6x (OVERVALUED)

However, Sun Communities still faces risks if earnings quality remains distorted by one off items or if the Global Residential REITs valuation gap starts to close.

Find out about the key risks to this Sun Communities narrative.

Another view on Sun Communities fair value

The high P/E ratio presents Sun Communities as expensive, but the SWS DCF model points in a different direction. At a share price of US$121.66, the stock trades about 40.6% below an estimated fair value of US$204.97. Which version of fair value do you trust more?

Look into how the SWS DCF model arrives at its fair value.

SUI Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2026
SUI Discounted Cash Flow as at Aug 2026

Simply Wall St performs a discounted cash flow (DCF) on every stock in the world every day (check out Sun Communities for example). We show the entire calculation in full. You can track the result in your watchlist or portfolio and be alerted when this changes, or use our stock screener to discover 48 high quality undervalued stocks. If you save a screener we even alert you when new companies match - so you never miss a potential opportunity.

Next Steps

With Sun Communities sending mixed signals on value and expectations, it makes sense to look under the hood yourself and move quickly while sentiment is still forming. To balance the upside potential against the concerns raised in this article, start by weighing the 4 key rewards and 3 important warning signs.

Looking for more investment ideas beyond Sun Communities?

If Sun Communities has sharpened your focus on value and quality, now is a good moment to widen your search and see what else the market is offering.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Disclaimer:This article represents the opinion of the author only. It does not represent the opinion of Webull, nor should it be viewed as an indication that Webull either agrees with or confirms the truthfulness or accuracy of the information. It should not be considered as investment advice from Webull or anyone else, nor should it be used as the basis of any investment decision.
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